POINT III: According to these factors, what could be potential NBC terrorist tactics?
September-11 taught us many lessons, but what's next? What trends?
Usama Ben Laden said in 1998 that he was not considering as a crime to try
and obtain NBC weapons, we must consider it.
The so-called Al Qaeda has revealed its non-State, protoplasmic nature.
That means each group that is linked to this fuzzy entity has a great autonomy
to decide the way it will fight the "Jihad" according to a general
guideline. A kind of franchising!
That implies we cannot seriously figure an action pattern with a certain amount
of logic and predictability, like it used to be in the times of the Middle-Eastern
terrorism in the 80's.
Today's terrorism has no centralized planning and figuring an operational scheme
would be a pure guess, except based on reliable intelligence sources.
That means nothing clearly indicates that these terrorists would use NBC weapons
despite what happened in the post 9/11 in the US. And with this case, if we
don't know the authors neither the origins of the germs, we have realized the
effects
of such a disruptive action.
Anyway, on the basis of former experiences, we have to be proactive and figure
how could some people use NBC weapons.
NBC terrorism is clearly a threat but it has technical limits: according to
what we've just said, could such attacks be really set to generate massive
destruction
as a State could? We do not think so.
We reasonably can figure that terrorists would rather choose to create an "NBC
Damocles effect" that would be more adequate to their capacities?
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